1. Market Snapshot & Sales Trends
- Balanced Market with Strong Activity
- June 2025 saw 761 properties sold, a 15.1% increase from June 2024. Condo sales surged 23.3%, while single-family home sales rose 17.5%
- July maintained momentum with 680 sales, up 4.6% YoY. Condo sales continued to trend upward; single-family sales dipped slightly
- Victoria’s sales-to-active listings ratio sits around 17–18%, signaling a stable, neither overly hot nor sluggish market
- Pricing Trends: Stability with Segmented Movement
- Benchmark prices for single-family homes rose modestly: $1.325M in June, rising to $1.3388M in July
- Condo prices have slightly declined (~0.8%) over the year-long period
- Early 2025 average prices:
- Condos (1–2 bd): ~$610K (+4.5%)
- Townhouses: ~$820K (+3.8%)
- Detached homes: ~$1.175M (+6.2%) janinethomson.net.
- Some regional forecasts suggest a mild dip (~0.9%) in average home prices in 2025, but a rebound (~3.2%) in 2026 www.canadianrealestatemagazine.ca.
- BCREA anticipates BC-wide sales to dip in 2025, followed by an 8.8% rebound in 2026 Kelowna Real Estate.
- CMHC expects a gradual recovery in 2026 as economic and trade conditions stabilize CMHC.
- Local Insights
- One resident on Reddit summed it up:"2025 will likely be hotter as rates are going down... Supply will never match demand. You have to overpay to buy anything." Reddit
2. Development & Building Trends
Major Projects Reshaping the Skyline
- Harris Green Village: Approved mixed-use project, including two towers (20–21 storeys), 526 rental units (80 affordable), commercial space, and daycare .
- One Victoria Place: Proposal for a 35-storey tower—potentially the tallest on Vancouver Island—featuring residential units, commercial and live/work space, and public plaza .
- Roundhouse at Bayview Place: Nine towers (10–32 storeys), totaling ~1,870 homes (with 215 affordable rentals), commercial space, heritage restoration of an old roundhouse, parks, childcare, and transit-focused design across 20 acres .
3. Design & Energy Efficiency Trends
Building & Energy Design Highlights
- Sustainable Development Leadership – Dockside Green, though established earlier, remains a hallmark: a LEED-ND-certified redevelopment using biomass heating, onsite water recycling, and brownfield remediation Wikipedia.
- Energy Efficiency Incentives –
- CleanBC’s heat pump rebates ended in April 2025; a new Energy Savings Program launched mid-July 2025 offers up to $24,500 per household, including condos and rentals.
- BC Hydro still offers up to $4,000 rebates for heat pump installations Wikipedia.
- The federal Canada Greener Homes Grant has closed to new applicants Wikipedia.
- Projects now aim for net-zero or carbon-neutral performance, waterfront and heritage considerations, and active transportation features.
- Architecture trends lean toward flexible mixed-use, integrating green features and responsive height scaling.
4. Policy & Zoning Shifts
- Provincial Housing Reforms: Under Premier David Eby’s leadership, BC:
- Eliminated single-detached zoning across urban areas
- Enabled low-rise buildings with single-stair access
- Removed parking minimums near transit
- Incentivized density and streamlined approvals Wikipedia.
- Missing Middle Housing: Victoria adopted zoning for multiplex forms (houseplexes, etc.) in March 2023. While targets are in progress, the city continues pushing this agenda House Hunt Victoria+1.
- Housing Supply Initiatives: Pre-sale developments and “Missing Middle” units align with broader strategies to increase supply for families.
2025 → 2026: What Lies Ahead?
CategoryWhat’s NextMarketModest gains in 2025; stronger rebound expected in 2026 as tariffs ease and demand returns.DevelopmentMajor towers and mixed-use projects advancing; expect more mid-rise and multiplex forms via zoning reforms.Design & SustainabilityIncreasing adoption of net-zero ambitions, energy-efficient retrofits, and greener infrastructure.PolicyContinued support for housing diversity, transit-oriented development, and streamlined approvals.
Full Blog: Victoria’s Real Estate Story
Title: Victoria 2025 Real Estate: A Year of Balanced Growth and Sustainable Innovation, with Momentum Brewing for 2026
IntroductionVictoria’s real estate market in 2025 strikes a rare balance—steady activity, moderate price increases, strong condo demand, and a backdrop of transformative development and sustainability initiatives. As we look ahead, 2026 promises to build on this foundation, fueled by economic recovery and policy reinvention.Market Pulse
- June–July figures show consistent demand and balanced supply; sales up across housing types, yet no frenzy
- Detached homes gain value moderately; condos soften slightly, presenting opportunities for entry-level buyers janinethomson.net
- Provincial forecasts anticipate a dip in 2025 followed by renewed growth in 2026 as optimism returns CMHC.
Victoria’s skyline is poised for change: heritage-infused waterfront communities like Roundhouse, high-rise mixed-use hubs like One Victoria Place, and creation of complete neighborhoods such as Harris Green Village suggest a shift to vibrant, walkable, and Zoning-forward urbanism.
Sustainability in Focus
Energy-efficient and green building gains steam: Dockside Green shows what’s possible today, while expanding rebate programs support widespread adoption of heat pumps and sustainable retrofits Wikipedia+1.Policy Landscape Shaping Tomorrow
BC's bold housing reforms—dismantling single-family zoning, parking minimums, and enabling gentle density—are already influencing Victoria’s planning culture, complementing municipal Missing Middle efforts.
Energy-efficient and green building gains steam: Dockside Green shows what’s possible today, while expanding rebate programs support widespread adoption of heat pumps and sustainable retrofits Wikipedia+1.Policy Landscape Shaping Tomorrow
BC's bold housing reforms—dismantling single-family zoning, parking minimums, and enabling gentle density—are already influencing Victoria’s planning culture, complementing municipal Missing Middle efforts.
Conclusion
2025 is about stability, sustainability, and slow-burning transformation. Come 2026, a market upswing, completion of major projects, and deeper integration of green design could redefine how Victorians live, move, and invest. Watch the runway—Victoria is preparing for liftoff.
2025 is about stability, sustainability, and slow-burning transformation. Come 2026, a market upswing, completion of major projects, and deeper integration of green design could redefine how Victorians live, move, and invest. Watch the runway—Victoria is preparing for liftoff.